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The Great American Bubble Machine

From Matt Taibbi's "The Great American Bubble Machine" in Rolling Stone Issue 1082-83.

The first thing you need to know about Goldman Sachs is that it's everywhere. The world's most powerful investment bank is a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money.

Any attempt to construct a narrative around all the former Goldmanites in influential positions quickly becomes an absurd and pointless exercise, like trying to make a list of everything. What you need to know is the big picture: If America is circling the drain, Goldman Sachs has found a way to be that drain — an extremely unfortunate loophole in the system of Western democratic capitalism, which never foresaw that in a society governed passively by free markets and free elections, organized greed always defeats disorganized democracy. They achieve this using the same playbook over and over again. The formula is relatively simple: Goldman positions itself in the middle of a speculative bubble, selling investments they know are crap. Then they hoover up vast sums from the middle and lower floors of society with the aid of a crippled and corrupt state that allows it to rewrite the rules in exchange for the relative pennies the bank throws at political patronage.

Interview With Eliot Spitzer

Interview and discussion with Eliot Spitzer of the Spitzer Enterprise. He talks about Goldman Sachs financial earnings and Matt Tiabbi's article.

Manhattan Available Office Space Highest In 5 Years

Available office space rose to 41.2 million square feet, the highest level in the past four and a half years, according to the second-quarter report released today by full-service commercial real estate firm Cushman & Wakefield. The availability rate reached 11.5 percent, up from 10.5 percent at the end of first-quarter 2009. Asking rents also showed weakness. They fell in Manhattan, dropping 7.4 percent to $60.23 per square foot from $65.01 per foot in the first quarter of the year.

Crisis Spurs People To Work For Free

With U.S. unemployment at a 20-year high, some Americans are working for free while looking for a job, but experts are split over whether it is a sign of dedication or desperation. Unpaid job seekers can keep their resumes fresh by boosting their experience and learning new skills, experts say, but others warn businesses may take advantage of the jobless and that it is illegal for commercial companies not to pay workers. Dana Lin, 22, is one of the 14.7 million unemployed workers in the United States. She lost her marketing job at a technology company near San Francisco in April and since then has been working for free for about five hours a week for Internet company Jobnob.com. "Every company has thousands of people applying for each job, and I realized I needed more appeal," said Lin, a graduate of Cornell University. Since being laid off, she has applied unsuccessfully for about 50 jobs. "In some cases companies might be getting the better end of it," she said. "But it's nice to have something occupy yourself with and when speaking to prospective employers it's nice to say 'I haven't just been sitting around all day, I've actually been doing something.'" It's not only the unemployed taking on free work. Some employed people are being asked by bosses to go without pay.

 

NY Probe May Have Stalled Rattner

President Obama's "car czar" is trading in his job at the same time a New York state probe into his hedge fund intensifies. Steve Rattner, co-founder of Quadrangle Group, is stepping down as the head of the White House's auto task force after just five months. The departure comes as Quadrangle faces scrutiny by Attorney General Andrew Cuomo into allegations Rattner's firm gave kickbacks to secure state pension fund business.

Barney Frank Doesn't Want To Call It The 'Recovery' Plan

From The Daily Show

The Representative from Massachusetts would prefer the 'stimulus' plan, positive connotations and all that jazz.

Also, he wasn't for homeownership. I don't know where you got that from. He was for affordability. And, gettin' personal, BF says his BF, Jimmy, often doesn't know whether to hug him or flip out on him, in case any (all) of you were wondering what it's like to date Barney Frank.

Buddy, Can You Spare $5 Trillion?

There is no doubt that the US is in financial trouble. Those talking of a strong recovery are just not dealing with reality. But the US is in better shape than a lot of countries. This week, we begin by looking at Japan. I have written for years about how large their debt-to-GDP ratio is, yet they keep on issuing more debt and seemingly getting away with it. But now, several factors are conspiring to create real problems for the Land of the Rising Sun. They may soon run into a very serious-sized wall. And it is not just Japan. Where will the world find $5 trillion to finance government debt? We look at some very worrisome graphs. Those in the US who think that what happens in the rest of the world doesn't matter just don't get it. There is a lot to cover in what will be a very interesting letter. I suggest removing sharp objects or pouring yourself a nice adult beverage.

But first, I want to direct the attention of those in the US finance industry to a white paper written by Themis Trading, called “Toxic Equity Trading Order Flow on Wall Street.” Basically, they outline why volume and volatility have jumped so much since 2007; and it’s not due to the credit crisis. They estimate that 70% of the volume in today’s markets is from high-frequency program trading. They outline how large brokers and funds can buy and sell a stock for the same price and still make 0.5 cents. Do that a million times a day and the money adds up. Or maybe do it 8 billion times. It requires powerful computers, complicity of the exchanges (because the exchanges get paid a lot), and highly proximate computer connections. Literally, the need for speed is so important that to play this game you have to have your servers physically at the exchange. Across the river in New Jersey is too slow. Forget Texas or California. This is a game played out in microseconds.

The Coming $50 Billion State Unemployment Bill

That's the amount of money currently lent by Federal Department of Labor (DOL) to a group of 15 states whose unemployment insurance (UI) trust funds have run dry. And it's about to get a whole hell of a lot worse. By the end of the year that number will likely have have grown to 35 states. Total DOL emergency loans to states at that time? Nearly $50 billion dollars. The situation will be far worse for some states than others.

Cratering Business Week Put Up For Sale

BusinessWeek parent-company McGraw-Hill has hired Evercore Partners Inc to sell the magazine, reports Bloomberg. Founded in 1929, BusinessWeek has an editorial staff around 200 and reaches 4.8 million readers in 140 countries each week. But the magazine's business is wilting.


English Language Newspapers

Europe, United Kingdom, South America, Asia, Africa, Middle East, The Pacific, The Carribean & Native Language Newspapers


"Banana Republic Report"

Podcasts


"Bear Market Rallies Demystified"

Discussion of the 50% Retracement Rule, potential future price levels, time studies, key dates, Fibonacci, Gann, Astro numbers, Robert Rhea's Great Depression analysis.

BBR for May 8th, 2009 (MP3)

Social Bookmarks

"Nothing Will Change -- Nothing -- Until We Tear Down the Sign Placed on Government ..., the One That Reads, 'For Sale.'"

Veteran journalist and former LBJ speechwriter Bill Moyers has the quote of the day, from an excellent article on government and media corruption: Nothing will change -- nothing -- until the money lenders are tossed out of the temple, the ATM's are wrested from the marble halls, and we tear down the sign they've placed on government -- the one that reads, "For Sale."


What the Fed's Exit Strategy Will Mean for the Economy

Economics is not an exact science. It pales in comparison to mathematics because it contains a high component of art in its analysis. With that said, there are several principles that still apply. One such principle is: when the condition of an economy becomes overleveraged, it needs to experience consistently expanding GDP with unabated asset price appreciation and a falling currency, or it will become insolvent. A fall in economic activity leads to lower asset prices, which force the dumping of those assets held on leverage. Also, an increase in the value of money will increase the value of all debt making it much more difficult to repay. The resulting dumping of assets leads to a deflationary spiral and economic turmoil.

The only debate should be about what constitutes insurmountable debt and what qualifies as an overleveraged condition. Taking on a small amount of debt that is used to acquire capital goods is always acceptable. However, a problem occurs when debt levels rise to the point where it becomes greater than a country's growth or taxing capacity. But the fact is that the debt of the United States both measured nominally and as a percentage of GDP has never been greater. Total non-financial debt at the conclusion of Q1 2009 was $33.9 trillion, while total debt as a percentage of GDP was 361%! For me, the consequences of our record breaking and historic levels of debt are clear. Our country is faced with the decision to debase the currency by massively inflating the money supply or allow the depressingly painful deleveraging cycle to run its course.